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SPAGHETTI SATURDAY · KEY LEVELS AND PIVOTS ON THE INDEXES AND THE WEEK'S HOT NAMES.

Friday's gap is the line: the S&P closes under 7,637 after Intel's crash

The S&P 500 closed the week at 7,580, below the gap Friday left between 7,637 and 7,691, and the Nasdaq 100 fell under its 50-day average. Next week's chip earnings and the jobs report are the first tests of that gap.

By the mrkts desk · Sat, Oct 31 · 10:20 AM ET · 3 min readBleeding
IN SHORT
  • The S&P 500 closed at 7,580.07, down 0.57% on the week, under Friday's open gap from 7,637 to 7,691, with the Sep 16 low at 7,508 as the next shelf below.
  • The Nasdaq 100 lagged with a 1.98% weekly drop to 28,384.85, below its 20 and 50-day averages and about 1.6% above its 200-day at 27,927.
  • Intel's 28.6% Friday drop and Alphabet's 12.6% weekly slide put both on the board; the pivot that matters most is the S&P's 7,637, the bottom of Friday's gap.

Key numbers

SPX
7,580.07
−0.57% wk
SPX PIVOT
7,637
Bottom of Friday's gap
NDX
28,384.85
−1.98% wk
NDX PIVOT
28,713
Bottom of Friday's gap
GOOGL
279.84
−12.61% wk
GOOGL PIVOT
288.33
Bottom of Thursday's gap
INTC
65.76
−24.38% wk
INTC PIVOT
70.00
Round number, heavy strike

Levels to watch

SPXS&P 500
Last 7,580.07
  • 7,844.52RESISTANCEOct 6 high, the top of the chart
  • 7,700RESISTANCE50-day average near 7,697, top of Friday's gap at 7,691 and the heaviest strike nearby
  • 7,637.48PIVOTFriday's high and the bottom edge of the open gap
  • 7,507.77SUPPORTSep 16 low, just under Friday's 7,527.56 low and the big 7,500 put strike
  • 7,309.76SUPPORT200-day average
A close back above 7,637 puts the gap fill and the 7,700 area with the 50-day average in play.
A close below 7,508 would break the September low and leave the 200-day average near 7,310 as the next well-tested line.
NDXNasdaq 100
Last 28,384.85
  • 29,796RESISTANCE50-day average, near the Oct 28 close of 29,813
  • 29,257.05RESISTANCETop of Friday's gap, Thursday's low
  • 28,713.45PIVOTFriday's high and the bottom edge of the open gap
  • 28,093.25SUPPORTFriday's low, above the 28,000 put strike
  • 27,927.30SUPPORT200-day average
A close above 28,713 starts to fill Friday's gap, with 29,257 at its top.
A close below Friday's 28,093 low leaves the 200-day average at 27,927 as the last moving average under the index.
GOOGLAlphabet
Last 279.84
  • 322.65RESISTANCETop of Thursday's gap, Wednesday's low
  • 300.00RESISTANCERound number and the heaviest strike near the price
  • 288.33PIVOTThursday's high and the bottom of the post-earnings gap
  • 276.92SUPPORTFriday's low, by the heavy 280 put strike
  • 272.11SUPPORTMar 30 low, the lowest level of 2026
A close above 288.33 would put the stock back inside its earnings gap, with 300 the first round number above.
A close below Friday's 276.92 low leaves the March low at 272.11 as the next level the stock has reacted to.
INTCIntel
Last 65.76
  • 90.84RESISTANCETop of Friday's gap, Thursday's low, above the 200-day average at 86.86
  • 80.00RESISTANCERound number and the largest open-interest strike
  • 70.00PIVOTRound number and heavy strike, just above Friday's 68.77 high
  • 63.20SUPPORTFriday's low
  • 60.75SUPPORTApr 10 low, the floor of the April base
A close above 70 would put the stock back into the bottom of Friday's 22-point gap.
A close below Friday's 63.20 low leaves the April lows near 60.75 as the next level with history.

The week's charts turned on one day. The S&P 500 spent Monday through Thursday inside a range above its 50-day average, then fell 1.82% on Friday and closed at 7,580.07, leaving an open gap between 7,637 and 7,691 above it. The Nasdaq 100 dropped 3.46% on Friday and ended the week 1.98% lower, about 9.5% below its Oct 6 high.

The S&P 500

SPX S&P 500 daily candles Aug 3 to Oct 30, 2026, with 20, 50 and 200-day averages. Levels: resistance 7,844.52 and 7,700, pivot 7,637.48, support 7,507.77 and 7,309.76. Open gap 7,637 to 7,691 shaded; Friday close 7,580.07.SPX S&P 500 daily candles Aug 3 to Oct 30, 2026, with 20, 50 and 200-day averages. Levels: resistance 7,844.52 and 7,700, pivot 7,637.48, support 7,507.77 and 7,309.76. Open gap 7,637 to 7,691 shaded; Friday close 7,580.07.
The S&P closed under Friday's gap; 7,637 is the first line to win back. · Quotes, daily bars through the Oct 30 close (4:00 PM ET)

The index has been making lower highs since the Oct 6 high at 7,844.52, and Friday's close is about 3.4% below it. It sits under both the 20-day average at 7,730 and the 50-day at 7,697, but still about 3.7% above the 200-day at 7,310. The pivot is 7,637.48, Friday's high and the bottom of the gap. The 7,700 area above it lines up the top of the gap, the 50-day average and the most crowded strike near the price. Below, Friday's 7,527.56 low sits just over the Sep 16 low at 7,507.77, the last time buyers stepped in on this chart, with heavy put open interest at 7,500.

The Nasdaq 100

NDX Nasdaq 100 daily candles Aug 3 to Oct 30, 2026, with 20, 50 and 200-day averages. Levels: resistance 29,796 and 29,257.05, pivot 28,713.45, support 28,093.25 and 27,927.30. Open gap 28,713 to 29,257 shaded; Friday close 28,384.85.NDX Nasdaq 100 daily candles Aug 3 to Oct 30, 2026, with 20, 50 and 200-day averages. Levels: resistance 29,796 and 29,257.05, pivot 28,713.45, support 28,093.25 and 27,927.30. Open gap 28,713 to 29,257 shaded; Friday close 28,384.85.
Tech gave back the whole October rally and sits 1.6% above its 200-day. · Quotes, daily bars through the Oct 30 close (4:00 PM ET)

Tech led the way down. The Nasdaq 100 lost 1.98% on the week against 0.57% for the S&P, and Friday's 3.46% drop left a 544-point gap from 28,713 to 29,257. The index is below its 20-day average at 29,933 and its 50-day at 29,796, and about 1.6% above its 200-day at 27,927, the closest any of the three averages has been to price on this chart. The pivot is 28,713.45, the bottom of the gap. Friday's low at 28,093.25 is the nearest support, with the 200-day just under it.

Alphabet after its worst day on record

GOOGL Alphabet daily candles Aug 3 to Oct 30, 2026, with 20, 50 and 200-day averages. Levels: resistance 322.65 and 300.00, pivot 288.33, support 276.92 and 272.11. Open gap 288.33 to 322.65 shaded; Friday close 279.84.GOOGL Alphabet daily candles Aug 3 to Oct 30, 2026, with 20, 50 and 200-day averages. Levels: resistance 322.65 and 300.00, pivot 288.33, support 276.92 and 272.11. Open gap 288.33 to 322.65 shaded; Friday close 279.84.
The earnings gap sits above the stock, with every average about 50 points higher. · Quotes, daily bars through the Oct 30 close (4:00 PM ET)

Alphabet made the board after falling 12.64% on Thursday following its quarterly report, a drop wires called its worst day on record, and it ended the week down 12.61% at 279.84. The report left a 34-point gap from 288.33 to 322.65 that Friday never touched. All three averages now sit between 334 and 341, above the gap. The pivot is 288.33, the bottom of that gap. Below, Friday's 276.92 low and the March 30 low at 272.11, the lowest level of 2026, are the levels with history.

Intel after its biggest drop in decades

INTC Intel daily candles Aug 3 to Oct 30, 2026, with 20, 50 and 200-day averages. Levels: resistance 90.84 and 80.00, pivot 70.00, support 63.20 and 60.75. Open gap 68.77 to 90.84 shaded; Friday close 65.76.INTC Intel daily candles Aug 3 to Oct 30, 2026, with 20, 50 and 200-day averages. Levels: resistance 90.84 and 80.00, pivot 70.00, support 63.20 and 60.75. Open gap 68.77 to 90.84 shaded; Friday close 65.76.
Intel gapped below its 200-day average and every level since August. · Quotes, daily bars through the Oct 30 close (4:00 PM ET)

Intel fell 28.58% on Friday after weaker-than-expected guidance, its worst day since the 1970s according to wires, and finished the week down 24.38% at 65.76. It gapped straight through its 200-day average at 86.86 and left a gap from 68.77 to 90.84. The pivot is 70, a round number with heavy open interest just above Friday's 68.77 high. Friday's low at 63.20 is the first support, then the April lows near 60.75, where the stock last based before its spring run.

Pivot moments next week

Monday brings the manufacturing PMI at 9:45 AM ET (prior 55.9) and ISM manufacturing at 10:00 AM ET (prior 54.5), the first test of the S&P's 7,637 pivot, and Apple and Palantir report after the close with implied moves of about 3.7% and 11.3%, a test of the Nasdaq's 28,713. The chip read-through for Intel comes from AMD after Tuesday's close (implied move about 7.6%) and Arm and Qualcomm after Wednesday's close (about 10.5% and 8.4%). Wednesday also has ADP at 8:15 AM ET and ISM services at 10:00 AM ET (prior 54.9). Friday's October jobs report at 8:30 AM ET (prior unemployment rate 4.2%) is the week's last test of whatever line holds, the S&P's 7,508 below or the gap above.

How to read these levels

These levels mark where the market has reacted before and may again. They are not predictions or trade signals. A daily close through a level says more than an intraday poke, and an open gap tends to stay a reference point until price trades back through it.

NARRATIVE WATCH
  • CoolingThe AI spending boomThe two names on the board both fell on AI spending worries, and the Nasdaq 100's 1.98% weekly drop left it about 1.6% above its 200-day average.
SCENARIOS
Choppy
If the S&P 500 closes back above 7,637
The gap fill toward 7,691 and the 7,700 area with the 50-day average comes into play.
Bleeding
If it closes below the Sep 16 low at 7,508
The 200-day average near 7,310 becomes the next level with history.
Share on XRSS
SOURCES ›
  • Economic calendar, pulled 10:06 AM ET 2026-10-31: Mon 11/2 US manufacturing PMI (prior 55.9), ISM manufacturing PMI (prior 54.5); Tue 11/3 JOLTS, factory orders; Wed 11/4 ADP employment (prior 90,000), ISM services PMI (prior 54.9); Thu 11/5 jobless claims; Fri 11/6 employment report, unemployment rate (prior 4.2%), U. Michigan sentiment (prior 46.3). No forecasts posted. The calendar feed lists times one hour early after the Nov 1 clock change; standard ET release times used (PMI 9:45 AM, ISM 10:00 AM, ADP 8:15 AM, jobs 8:30 AM).
  • Earnings calendar, pulled 10:06 AM ET 2026-10-31: AAPL (expected move about 3.7%) and PLTR (about 11.3%) after the close Mon 11/2; AMD after the close Tue 11/3 (about 7.6%); ARM (about 10.5%) and QCOM (about 8.4%) after the close Wed 11/4
  • Earnings history: GOOGL reported 2026-10-28 after the close (1-day move −12.64%); INTC reported 2026-10-29 after the close (1-day move −28.58%)
  • Quotes, daily bars: SPX and NDX index values and SPY, QQQ, GOOGL, INTC, 2025-06-02 to 2026-10-30 (4:00 PM ET closes); chart window Aug 3 to Oct 30; 20, 50 and 200-day simple averages from daily closes
  • Week change: Oct 30 close vs Oct 23 close (SPX 7,623.68, NDX 28,957.53, GOOGL 320.21, INTC 86.96)
  • Volume panels for SPX and NDX use SPY and QQQ share volume (index bars carry no volume)
  • Options open interest by strike, session 2026-10-30: SPX 7,700 (167,292 calls, 182,421 puts), 7,500 (184,332 puts); NDX 28,000 (3,637 puts); GOOGL 300 (89,401 calls, 100,280 puts), 280 (102,557 puts); INTC 80 (129,227 calls, 280,760 puts), 70 (157,845 calls, 239,586 puts)
  • Closing mood for Oct 30 from data/market/day-moods.json
  • @CNBC — “Alphabet tanks nearly 13% for worst day ever, losing $500 billion in value”
  • @WSJ — “A $500 billion wipeout in market value just made it the ugliest day ever for Alphabet shares”
  • @Reuters — “Wall Street ends lower as Alphabet revenue miss revives AI capex jitters”
  • @CNBC — “Intel shares plummeted 29% on Friday, their worst day since the 1970s, after the chipmaker issued weaker-than-expected guidance”
  • @Reuters — “Amazon burns cash, Intel flags weak PC demand as AI boom's costs ripple across markets”
  • @YahooFinance — “Intel just had its worst day since 1974 after warning that the PC slump will last into next year.”

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