MARKET STORIES

Market stories: the trades people are talking about

Big wins, the strategies behind them, and what's new on Kalshi and Polymarket. Every number comes from a public source we link to.

TRADER HIGHLIGHT · KALSHI+$2.39MFrom poker to $2.4 million on Kalshi: meet DomerDomer started betting on the Knicks to make a game more fun. Kalshi has called him its most profitable public politics trader, and his profile now shows a $2.4 million return. His advice is simpler than you'd think.TRADER HIGHLIGHT · POLYMARKET$1.11MA law student turned an 8-cent London weather bet into $1.1 millionHans323 trades one thing on Polymarket: how hot it gets in London and New York. One long-shot temperature bracket reportedly paid him more than a million dollars.NEW ON THE PLATFORM · KALSHI$300M+Kalshi's stock perps traded $300 million in their first morningKalshi now lists perpetual futures on more than 50 US stocks: no expiry, long or short, with leverage. Here's what launched, how a contract works and what it costs to hold one.STRATEGY · POLYMARKET92¢The 90-cent grind: why some weather traders only buy near-sure thingsInstead of chasing 8-cent long shots, some Polymarket weather traders buy brackets priced above 90 cents and collect small wins every day. Here's the math, and the one day that can undo a month.

Where these trades happen

PREDICTION MARKET

KalshiUSA

A CFTC-regulated US exchange for event contracts on the Fed, inflation, earnings and more.

How Kalshi works →

mrkts earns a referral reward if you sign up and trade. Not available everywhere; our link checks your region.

PREDICTION MARKET

PolymarketNon-USA

See the odds on the Fed, CPI and earnings, and trade them.

How Polymarket works →

mrkts earns a referral reward if you sign up and trade. Not available everywhere; our link checks your region.

One trader's result says nothing about what you'll make, and prediction markets can lose you everything you put in. Nothing here is investment advice. See our disclosures.

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