# Polymarket: trade the odds on the Fed, CPI and earnings

Canonical URL: https://mrkts.gg/markets/polymarket
Last updated: Nov 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET

Polymarket lets you buy and sell shares in the outcome of real events. The price of a share is the market's odds. Here's how it works, what it costs, and who can use it.

## At a glance

- Type: Prediction market
- Who it's for: Non-USA
- What you trade: Yes/No shares on real events, priced from 0 to 100 cents
- US traders: Polymarket US, a CFTC-regulated exchange (polymarket.us) Source: https://polymarket.com/tos
- Fees: Fees on some markets; geopolitics and world-event markets are fee-free Source: https://docs.polymarket.com/programs/referral-program

## How it works

1. **Pick an event.** Choose a question, like where CPI lands or whether a company beats earnings.
2. **Choose Yes or No.** Each share costs between 0 and 100 cents. That price is the market's odds.
3. **Wait for the result.** A winning share pays $1. A losing one pays nothing. You can also sell before then.

## Who can use it

polymarket.com doesn't take new trades from the US, the UK, Ontario and a list of other places. US traders use Polymarket US instead, and our links send you to the one you can use.

## Risks

- You can lose everything you put into a position if the outcome goes the other way.
- Odds are a market price, not a forecast we stand behind.

## Our relationship

mrkts has a referral link with Polymarket and may earn a reward if a reader signs up and trades. It doesn't change what we write. Facts above come from Polymarket's own pages, checked 2026-11-11.

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